<<May 1, 2000>>

Franck BIANCHERI <fbianch@club-internet.fr>

P. Tapio Varis, Ph.D, Professor <tapio.varis@uta.fi>

Dr. Marco Antonio R. Dias <mardias@club-internet.fr>

Dr. David A. Johnson, AICP <daj@utk.edu>

Professor Jim Hines <jhines@mit.edu>

Dr. Dalia Moawad <dmoawad@ritsec2.com.eg>

Roger Lee Boston <rboston@tenet.edu>

Dr. Gerald O. Barney <gbarney@igc.apc.org>

Dear Franck:

(1)  Many thanks for your msg (ATTACHMENT I) in response to my previous
     listserve distribution of
     "Global Peace Gaming (Part II) - April 21, 2000" which can be found at

     I will reply to your subject of our presenting the Global University
     System (GUS) project at your conference first, and then reply to your
     inquiry on the possibility of demonstrating a Global Peace Gaming during
     your conference.

(2)  Many thanks for your accepting our proposition to present our GUS
     project at your exciting Newropeans Congress on October 5 to 7, 2000 in
     Paris -- <http://www.newropeans.org>.

     During the board mtg of our GLOSAS/USA on 4/20th, Tapio and David have
     agreed to attend your conference to present our GUS project.  They will
     appreciate your generous offer of free food and accommodations.

          I am very happy to learn that you know Marco.

          Dear Marco:

          Pls reserve the dates for Franck's conference, though we will meet
          and discuss at our mini-workshop in Manaus, Amazona, Brazil on
          5/31st to June 2 -- see

     Tapio and David would appreciate it if your conference will provide them
     with Internet/web access at high speed (preferably better than 56 Kbps)
     and a projector/large screen, etc.

          Dear Dalia:

          If you can attend this conference, you may join Tapio and David to
          present your InfoDev project.

     I would be very happy to publicize your conference in our listserve
     distributions and web.

(3)  About your inquiry if we can make a small scale global peace gaming
     during your conference:

     This depends on the replies to the outline of my following propositions
     from Prof. Jime Hines (M.I.T.), Dr. Dalia Moawad (RITSEC), and if
     necessary, Prof. Roger Boston (Houston Community College System).

(4)  The participants of this demonstration will be students in seven Arab
     countries, which are Jordan, Lebanon, Kuwait, Emirates, Tunisia,
     Morocco, and Egypt.

     They took Prof. Hines' distance learning courses on  Managing Complex
     Systems" <http://www.ritsec.com.eg/learnnet/html/system_dynamics.html>.

     This distance learning project was funded by the InfoDev of the World

          Dear Dalia:

          Pls consider this event with your people and reply to me ASAP.
          This can be a very good publicity of your project to develop many
          partners in European countries and also a good starting point of
          our collaboration which you proposed -- see "Connection with Egypt
          and Arabic countries - April 28, 2000" at <http://www.kagawa-jc.ac.jp/~steve/global-univ-2000.html>.

(5)  During the demonstration, all of those students will be linked with a
     videoconferencing (say, CU-SeeMe or NetMeeting, etc.) -- or if video is
     not possible, with audio conference or chat, at least.

          This means that they need to have a camera and higher speed
          Internet access than 56 Kbps.

          Dear Roger:

          Pls consider the possibility of connecting them via Internet, for
          video, audio, whiteboard, slide show, etc. as similar to the one
          you did during our Tampere event -- see

          If Franck can provide broadband Internet line at the demo site
          (there is more than 165 Mbps line between the US and France), you
          may also do streaming audio/video as you did with Colette and
          David Johnson -- see <http://www.teched.org/starlink>.

               If Franck provides us with enough time, say, 1.5 hour, you
               may use 0.5 hour for your presentation of your distance
               learning courses, too, and you then keep watch the
               connection with the Arabic students during the following
               demo by Prof. Hines for about one hour.

Dear Prof. Hines:

(6)  It was my great pleasure to talk with you over the phone a few hours ago.

     In response to Franck's request, I wonder if you can demonstrate World
     Dynamics model which you used in your distance learning course on
      Managing Complex Systems" with the Arabic students of RITSEC project.

     I would appreciate it if you can kindly emphasize the use of "Cause-and-Effect"
     diagram for better understanding of interdependence among world
     phenomena -- see STRUCTURE OF THRESHOLD 21 at

               Jay Forrester of M.I.T. once said (when I took his course in
               1967) that the primary purpose of systems dynamics
               simulation is NOT for its prediction/forecasting, but for
               the clearer understanding of such interdependent
               relationship of social factors. I thought that this, with
               scientific and rational analysis and critical thinking,
               ought to be the basic principle of global education for peace

          Incidentally, Dr. G. O. Barney of the Millennium Institute (which
          has the above web site) has been a strong advocate of Systems
          Dynamics methodology since early 1970s.  He produced a report on
          the 21st century for President Jimmy Carter just prior to his
          leaving the White House.

          His Millennium Institute has constructed many national models for
          Bangladesh, Benin, Cambodia, China, Italy, Malawi, Somaliland,
          Tunisia, US, etc.  However, alas, they have not linked each other
          yet, though the interdependence among them is apparent -- more so
          with globalization in the 21st century.

          As mentioned in my previous listserves (ATTACHMENT II), our next
          task is to link those national models which will be resided in the
          computers in their individual countries (in distributed computer
          simulation mode) for our Globally Collaborative Environmental
          Peace Gaming -- see Chapter 5 "Global Peace Gaming" of my book
          draft "Electronic Global University System and Services" at
          <http://www.friends-partners.org/GLOSAS/Bookwriting/Contents_of_Book.html> --
          especially, see its Figures 1 and 2.  However, we have to make
          further development for this next task in the future.

(7)  The ideal execution mode of your World Dynamics model for gaming would
     be the so-called  man-in-the-loop" interactive one which is similar to
     the flight simulation.

     In this mode, you start your model from the initial point, say, the Year
     2000.  Your model's execution output will be seen in graphic form by
     Arabic students as their accessing your web site of the model.

     According to the pre-set scenario, the students will stop the model
     execution, to discuss the new situation and set new policy parameters
     for the next execution period by the consensus among the game players,
     and so on.

          The scenario may have the change of population growth rate (say,
          due to worldwide epidemic), or energy shortage (say, due to
          political upheaval in an oil producing country), etc.

          Refer to Figure 2 of the Chapter 5 of my book draft mentioned above.

     If your World Dynamics model cannot have such real-time interaction
     capability, you may execute the model for certain time interval, say,
     every 10 years to change the policy parameters, and continue the
     execution for the next time period.

     During those parameter changes, the aforementioned videoconferencing
     connection will provide you with direct discussion with your students in
     those Arabic countries via Internet.  (Their videoconferencing may be
     done with another PC than the one of accessing your web site.)

(8)  The above is the outline of my proposition for this demo on Global Peace
     Gaming at Franck's conference.  Pls feel free to call me if you have any questions.

     Franck and I look forward to hearing your favorable response soon.

Dear Franck:

(9)  The above is not quite complete format of our planned Global Peace
     Gaming yet.  However, it can be another significant development toward
     the end, after our cumulative effort in the past quarter century as
     mentioned in my book draft.

Best, Tak
                          ATTACHMENT I

Date: Thu, 27 Apr 2000 06:50:16 -0400
To: f.biancheri@cybercable.fr
Cc: utsumi@friends-partners.org
Subject: Error Condition Re: Re: Global Peace Gaming (Part II)

Dear Tak,

Thank you veru much for your answer. As it seems that this game cannot be
demonstrated on real scale at the occasion of the Newropeans congress, is it
maybe possible to think of a small demo version?

Concerning a presentation of Glosas at the conference, it is of course
possible. I have to see with the organisation committee by next week. What
could be envisaged is GLOSAS/Newropeans cooperation. on our side, we could
inform about Glosas and create links on our website, offer to two of your
officer to speak at one or two sessions dealing with Internet and Education
(we take in charge food and accomodation, but not travels) and find a slot
in our programme to demonstrate what this university system can look like.
Have you some 10 mn demo available? or something we can have online for 10mn?
We would then expect GLOSAS in exchange to publicize the Newropeans congress
to its members and partners.

What do you think?

By the way, I am happy to meet again with Marco Antonio DIAS whom I happen
to know for a few years already.

Best regards

                         ATTACHMENT II

  Other related listserve distributions on Global Peace Gaming
                      which can be found at

(1) "Global Peace Gaming (Part II) - April 21, 2000,"

(2) "Global Peace Gaming / Past and future possibilities - April 17, 2000,"

(3) "Scenario USED for peace gaming at 1986 GLH - April 14, 2000,"

(4) "Class on Peace Gaming at Univ. of Hawaii - April 10, 2000."
                         ATTACHMENT III

                      Reference web sites:



(2)  Tampere conference:


(3)  Global University System:


(4)  Global University System: Asia-Pacific Framework:



     "Draft of Travel Grant Application to the National Science Foundation
     for the Manila Mini-Workshop -- 1 of 5: Travel Grant Application / 2 of
     5: Workshop Schedule / 3 of 5: Grant Nominees / 4 of 5: Philippine
     Counterparts / 5 of 5: GUS in the Philippines Pilot Project Proposal -
     February 16-17, 2000" at

(5)  Global broadband Internet networks:


(6)  Global Service Trust Fund (GSTF):




(7)  Manaus workshop:



      Draft of Travel Grant Application to the NSF for the Manaus Mini-Workshop - March 30, 2000" at


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http://www.dds.nl/hypermail/ties-list/0007.html--About Tampere event.

P. Tapio Varis, Ph.D, Professor
Acting President, Global University System
Chairman, GLOSAS/Finland
Professor and Chair
Media Culture and Communication Education
Hypermedia laboratory
University of Tampere
P.O.Box 607
FIN-33101 Tampere
Tel: +358-3-215 6110
GSM: +358-50-567-9833
Fax: +358-3-215 7503

Dr. Marco Antonio R. Dias
Vice President, Global University System
Consultant of United Nations University
Former Director, Division of Higher Education of UNESCO
36, Rue Ernest Renan
92.190 Meudon
Tel: +33-1-45 34 3509
Fax: +33-1-45 34 3509

Dr. David A. Johnson, AICP
Board member of GLOSAS/USA
Former President of Fulbright Association
Professor Emeritus, School of Planning
College of Arts and Sciences
University of Tennessee
108-I Hoskins Library
Knoxville, TN 37996-4015
Tel: +1-423-974 5227
Fax: +1-423-974 5229

Professor Jim Hines
Advanced Study Program, E53-329
Center For Advanced Studies
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Mobil: 617-413-0374

Dr. Dalia Moawad
Project Coordinator
Regional Information Technology and Software Engineering Center (RITSEC)
PO Box 433 Heliopolis Center 11757
Cairo, Egypt
tel:+20-2-339-1361 (Direct)

Roger Lee Boston
Rockwell Chair/Instructor
Distance Education/Technology Center
Houston Community College System
4310 Dunlavy Street
P.O.Box 7849
Houston, Texas 77006
Tel: +1-713-718 5224
Fax: +1-713-718 5301
boston_r@hccs.cc.tx.us (secondary)

Dr. Gerald O. Barney
Millennium Institute
1117 North 19th Street, Suite 900
Arlington, VA 22209-1708
Fax: 703-841-0050
* Takeshi Utsumi, Ph.D., P.E., Chairman, GLOSAS/USA                  *
* (GLObal Systems Analysis and Simulation Association in the U.S.A.) *
* Laureate of Lord Perry Award for Excellence in Distance Education  *
* Founder of CAADE                                                   *
* (Consortium for Affordable and Accessible Distance Education)      *
* President Emeritus and V.P. for Technology and Coordination of     *
*   Global University System (GUS)                                   *
* 43-23 Colden Street, Flushing, NY 11355-3998, U.S.A.               *
* Tel: 718-939-0928; Fax: 718-939-0656 (day time only--prefer email) *
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* http://www.friends-partners.org/GLOSAS/                            *

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